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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.01+0.87vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.77+0.02vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-0.84+1.95vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.70-0.85vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.94+1.24vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-0.99vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Fordham University2.010.4%1st Place
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2.02Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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4.95Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
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3.15Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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6.24Syracuse University-1.940.0%1st Place
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5.01SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 44.5% | 31.4% | 17.9% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 35.7% | 35.7% | 21.0% | 6.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 16.6% | 24.5% | 29.8% | 12.8% |
| Ossian Kamal | 11.0% | 18.7% | 32.3% | 23.7% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Faith Otoole | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 61.2% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.3% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 20.0% | 26.8% | 23.4% | 16.2% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 2.8% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 22.1% | 24.9% | 25.4% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.