← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University1.77+1.01vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.01-0.16vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+1.97vs Predicted
-
4Rutgers University-0.84+1.05vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University0.70-1.82vs Predicted
-
6Syracuse University-1.94+0.21vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.01Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
-
1.84Fordham University2.010.4%1st Place
-
4.97SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
-
5.05Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
-
3.18Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
-
6.21Syracuse University-1.940.0%1st Place
-
4.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 37.6% | 34.3% | 19.5% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 44.9% | 33.1% | 16.6% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 18.3% | 25.9% | 26.4% | 14.6% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 1.1% | 3.7% | 8.7% | 19.0% | 26.0% | 26.4% | 15.1% |
| Ossian Kamal | 10.2% | 17.3% | 35.7% | 22.7% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Faith Otoole | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 20.3% | 59.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 2.8% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 22.4% | 25.8% | 22.8% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.