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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+0.86vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01-0.31vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.59+1.39vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.84+0.77vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-0.24vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.94+0.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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1.69Fordham University2.010.5%1st Place
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4.39Princeton University-0.590.0%1st Place
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4.77Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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6.07Syracuse University-1.940.0%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 39.8% | 40.6% | 14.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 49.1% | 36.6% | 11.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Berkley Yiu | 3.9% | 6.1% | 18.5% | 24.7% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 7.6% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 1.3% | 4.4% | 16.9% | 19.2% | 22.2% | 23.8% | 12.2% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 1.9% | 5.0% | 15.1% | 20.7% | 22.6% | 19.9% | 14.8% |
| Faith Otoole | 0.7% | 1.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 18.2% | 56.4% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 3.3% | 6.0% | 19.1% | 21.4% | 22.6% | 18.6% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.