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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+0.88vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01-0.31vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-0.84+1.70vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.59+0.44vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-0.25vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.94+0.08vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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1.69Fordham University2.010.5%1st Place
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4.7Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.44Princeton University-0.590.0%1st Place
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4.75SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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6.08Syracuse University-1.940.0%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 39.7% | 39.2% | 15.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 49.0% | 36.8% | 11.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.4% | 5.0% | 14.1% | 21.0% | 20.7% | 23.7% | 12.1% |
| Berkley Yiu | 2.0% | 6.7% | 20.6% | 21.2% | 22.7% | 19.0% | 7.8% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 1.9% | 5.0% | 15.5% | 21.0% | 21.4% | 20.5% | 14.7% |
| Faith Otoole | 0.7% | 1.3% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 17.6% | 56.8% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 3.3% | 6.0% | 18.5% | 21.7% | 23.0% | 18.9% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.