← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University2.01+0.71vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University1.77-0.14vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University-0.59+1.38vs Predicted
-
4Rutgers University-0.84+0.77vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-0.25vs Predicted
-
6Syracuse University-1.94+0.07vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.71Fordham University2.010.5%1st Place
-
1.86Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
-
4.38Princeton University-0.590.0%1st Place
-
4.77Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
-
4.75SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
-
6.07Syracuse University-1.940.0%1st Place
-
4.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 49.6% | 35.0% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 39.4% | 41.1% | 15.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Berkley Yiu | 4.0% | 6.4% | 18.4% | 24.3% | 20.2% | 19.1% | 7.6% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 1.1% | 4.9% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 22.2% | 23.8% | 12.2% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 1.9% | 5.3% | 15.1% | 20.6% | 22.3% | 20.0% | 14.8% |
| Faith Otoole | 0.8% | 1.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 18.2% | 56.4% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 3.2% | 6.2% | 19.0% | 21.4% | 22.6% | 18.6% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.