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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+0.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+0.14vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+0.52vs Predicted
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4Fordham University-0.91-0.23vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.64-0.39vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-2.60-0.29vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-3.56-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Hampton University0.810.5%1st Place
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2.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.3%1st Place
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3.52SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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3.77Fordham University-0.910.1%1st Place
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4.61Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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5.71Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
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6.39Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 46.2% | 30.9% | 15.3% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 33.4% | 33.5% | 22.0% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.1% | 14.9% | 25.6% | 27.1% | 17.8% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 7.0% | 12.0% | 20.9% | 27.9% | 22.3% | 8.8% | 1.1% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 3.5% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 19.0% | 32.6% | 21.7% | 6.3% |
| Ralph Molinari | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 8.2% | 16.5% | 42.9% | 26.2% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 20.1% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.