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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+0.84vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+1.48vs Predicted
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3Fordham University-0.91+0.74vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.82vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.64-0.35vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-2.60-0.29vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-3.56-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Hampton University0.810.5%1st Place
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3.48SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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3.74Fordham University-0.910.1%1st Place
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2.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.3%1st Place
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4.65Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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5.71Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
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6.4Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 46.2% | 32.2% | 15.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 9.7% | 13.8% | 25.1% | 29.1% | 15.3% | 6.4% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 7.3% | 12.5% | 22.0% | 26.3% | 21.7% | 9.2% | 1.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 31.7% | 34.1% | 21.6% | 10.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 3.2% | 4.9% | 11.0% | 19.7% | 33.3% | 21.7% | 6.2% |
| Ralph Molinari | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 18.6% | 41.9% | 26.4% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 20.2% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.