← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.78+6.66vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.91+3.65vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.22+4.14vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.05+1.22vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.92+0.93vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.68+0.40vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.65vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy0.41+6.30vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University0.46+2.87vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.20-2.70vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.39-1.33vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.71-1.57vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College1.95-4.51vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-1.74vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.05-2.57vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College0.88-3.29vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College2.03-7.11vs Predicted
-
18Olin College of Engineering0.46-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.66University of Rhode Island2.787.0%1st Place
-
5.65Brown University2.9112.2%1st Place
-
7.14Tufts University2.227.8%1st Place
-
5.22Harvard University3.0513.6%1st Place
-
5.93Yale University2.9211.9%1st Place
-
6.4Roger Williams University2.689.8%1st Place
-
9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.5%1st Place
-
14.3Maine Maritime Academy0.410.9%1st Place
-
11.87Salve Regina University0.461.8%1st Place
-
7.3Boston College2.207.3%1st Place
-
9.67Boston University1.394.2%1st Place
-
10.43Northeastern University1.714.0%1st Place
-
8.49Dartmouth College1.955.2%1st Place
-
12.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.2%1st Place
-
12.43University of Vermont1.052.4%1st Place
-
12.71Connecticut College0.882.1%1st Place
-
9.89Bowdoin College2.033.0%1st Place
-
14.02Olin College of Engineering0.461.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.6% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 27.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Will Priebe | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jack Derry | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.