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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+1.19vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.81+0.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.44vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.08vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.64-0.12vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-2.60-0.18vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-3.56-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Hampton University0.810.3%1st Place
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2.19Fordham University0.810.3%1st Place
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2.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.2%1st Place
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3.92SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.88Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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5.82Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
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6.45Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 34.6% | 29.4% | 21.8% | 11.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Owen | 33.2% | 30.1% | 24.3% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 22.4% | 26.3% | 30.1% | 15.8% | 5.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.3% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 37.2% | 24.6% | 7.6% | 0.9% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 17.0% | 40.7% | 24.2% | 6.4% |
| Ralph Molinari | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 6.5% | 16.9% | 45.6% | 26.9% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 7.6% | 21.7% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.