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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+1.20vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.81+0.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.44vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.08vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.64-0.12vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-3.56+0.55vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-2.60-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Hampton University0.810.3%1st Place
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2.19Fordham University0.810.3%1st Place
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2.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.2%1st Place
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3.92SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.88Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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6.55Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
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5.71Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 34.3% | 29.6% | 22.4% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Owen | 33.3% | 30.1% | 24.0% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 22.5% | 26.3% | 29.8% | 16.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.2% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 37.2% | 24.8% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 16.4% | 42.7% | 22.8% | 6.5% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 19.8% | 70.5% |
| Ralph Molinari | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 8.2% | 15.9% | 49.0% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.