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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+0.83vs Predicted
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2Fordham University-0.91+1.70vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.84vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.64+0.66vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.44vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-2.60-0.31vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-3.56-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Hampton University0.810.5%1st Place
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3.7Fordham University-0.910.1%1st Place
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2.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.3%1st Place
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4.66Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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3.56SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.69Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
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6.4Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 46.9% | 31.1% | 15.1% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 8.3% | 11.5% | 21.6% | 29.1% | 20.7% | 7.5% | 1.3% |
| Langdon Wallace | 32.0% | 34.8% | 22.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 2.3% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 20.1% | 33.2% | 22.7% | 5.4% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.9% | 13.9% | 24.5% | 26.4% | 18.8% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Ralph Molinari | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 16.5% | 42.3% | 26.3% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 21.0% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.