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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+0.86vs Predicted
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2Fordham University-0.91+1.71vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.84vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.45vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.64-0.36vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-2.60-0.31vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-3.56-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Hampton University0.810.5%1st Place
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3.71Fordham University-0.910.1%1st Place
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2.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.3%1st Place
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3.55SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.64Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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5.69Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
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6.39Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 46.6% | 30.5% | 15.7% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 8.7% | 10.0% | 23.7% | 27.8% | 20.5% | 7.8% | 1.5% |
| Langdon Wallace | 30.7% | 37.2% | 20.1% | 9.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.9% | 13.2% | 25.6% | 26.7% | 18.6% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 3.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 19.2% | 34.1% | 21.7% | 6.1% |
| Ralph Molinari | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 15.9% | 42.9% | 26.3% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 20.8% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.