Race 1A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Everett Botwinick 7.1% 7.3% 7.9% 9.3% 8.0% 8.7% 9.1% 8.2% 10.5% 9.1% 8.1% 5.0% 1.7%
Will Priebe 12.3% 12.2% 13.6% 10.4% 11.0% 10.0% 8.8% 6.9% 6.7% 4.2% 1.9% 1.7% 0.3%
Spencer Barnes 16.0% 16.4% 12.5% 11.6% 11.1% 9.9% 7.7% 6.0% 4.1% 2.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.3%
Lars Osell 6.4% 8.3% 7.6% 9.6% 9.2% 8.2% 9.3% 9.6% 8.6% 7.2% 8.6% 5.3% 2.1%
Clark Morris 10.8% 12.4% 10.1% 11.7% 7.3% 9.2% 10.8% 9.2% 6.5% 5.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8%
Declan Botwinick 15.9% 12.6% 15.9% 10.0% 11.2% 8.7% 7.2% 5.9% 4.9% 4.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.3%
Ted Sherman 2.2% 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 3.0% 3.5% 3.5% 4.8% 6.1% 6.1% 10.7% 17.4% 35.9%
Peter McGonagle 8.2% 8.7% 6.4% 9.1% 8.3% 9.1% 10.8% 9.8% 9.5% 7.9% 6.4% 4.3% 1.5%
Ryan Potter 5.1% 4.5% 5.2% 5.2% 6.9% 6.3% 6.5% 9.1% 9.8% 10.7% 11.2% 10.8% 8.7%
Luke Hosek 7.0% 6.3% 6.9% 7.6% 8.5% 7.2% 8.4% 9.4% 9.3% 8.4% 9.2% 7.8% 4.0%
Fritz Baldauf 3.8% 3.6% 4.9% 6.6% 6.2% 7.7% 6.8% 8.8% 9.2% 11.8% 11.8% 11.8% 7.0%
Madison Suh 1.5% 2.7% 2.1% 2.2% 3.6% 4.3% 5.0% 4.8% 6.5% 8.1% 12.1% 19.5% 27.6%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.7% 3.2% 4.1% 4.5% 5.7% 7.2% 6.1% 7.5% 8.3% 13.9% 12.4% 13.6% 9.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.