Race 2A

vietor

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Spencer Barnes 16.6% 14.4% 14.3% 11.6% 11.0% 8.1% 8.6% 6.7% 3.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Clark Morris 10.8% 10.2% 10.7% 10.8% 9.6% 11.7% 8.3% 7.8% 7.8% 5.3% 3.4% 2.7% 0.9%
Declan Botwinick 13.4% 15.3% 12.1% 11.3% 10.8% 10.5% 9.0% 5.9% 5.8% 3.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.3%
Everett Botwinick 6.4% 7.8% 7.5% 8.5% 8.7% 9.7% 8.8% 9.2% 8.4% 9.5% 8.2% 5.7% 1.6%
Peter McGonagle 7.8% 8.5% 9.3% 9.5% 9.0% 7.7% 8.7% 9.3% 9.6% 8.1% 6.0% 4.8% 1.7%
Ryan Potter 5.3% 4.2% 5.5% 5.1% 7.2% 8.0% 6.5% 7.4% 11.4% 10.8% 11.6% 10.0% 7.0%
Fritz Baldauf 5.2% 3.9% 5.7% 5.3% 5.1% 5.7% 6.0% 8.4% 9.8% 10.9% 12.8% 12.4% 8.8%
Will Priebe 13.2% 12.9% 11.1% 12.6% 9.6% 11.4% 9.4% 6.9% 5.2% 3.4% 2.3% 1.8% 0.2%
Lars Osell 7.7% 7.9% 7.6% 8.3% 8.9% 7.8% 10.4% 9.2% 7.5% 9.3% 7.5% 4.9% 3.0%
Madison Suh 2.5% 2.4% 2.9% 2.4% 3.3% 3.6% 5.0% 5.6% 7.9% 9.1% 11.1% 18.7% 25.5%
Luke Hosek 6.1% 6.5% 7.6% 7.8% 9.0% 7.8% 9.8% 10.0% 9.0% 9.1% 9.3% 5.1% 2.9%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.4% 4.7% 3.4% 4.8% 5.7% 5.2% 6.2% 9.1% 7.6% 11.0% 13.0% 16.0% 9.9%
Ted Sherman 1.6% 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 2.1% 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 6.1% 7.9% 11.1% 16.9% 38.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.