Race 3A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter McGonagle 7.4% 7.9% 7.3% 10.2% 9.3% 7.5% 9.1% 9.4% 10.7% 7.7% 6.2% 5.0% 2.3%
Everett Botwinick 6.5% 7.2% 8.7% 8.2% 7.7% 10.4% 8.4% 10.9% 8.4% 7.9% 7.9% 5.5% 2.3%
Will Priebe 12.3% 12.2% 13.1% 10.3% 11.4% 10.2% 8.3% 7.9% 7.0% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
Clark Morris 11.4% 9.7% 11.5% 12.1% 9.4% 9.7% 9.4% 6.5% 7.4% 5.7% 4.7% 1.7% 0.8%
Spencer Barnes 17.6% 16.5% 13.2% 10.4% 11.2% 9.2% 7.7% 5.7% 2.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Lars Osell 8.0% 8.3% 7.4% 9.4% 9.1% 8.6% 9.9% 7.9% 9.7% 7.7% 6.5% 5.3% 2.2%
Declan Botwinick 15.7% 14.1% 12.3% 12.0% 11.2% 9.0% 7.7% 6.7% 4.9% 3.7% 1.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Ryan Potter 3.9% 6.5% 5.9% 5.7% 5.2% 6.6% 9.0% 8.3% 10.1% 9.2% 11.9% 11.0% 6.7%
Luke Hosek 6.4% 5.7% 6.6% 7.1% 7.7% 9.0% 9.3% 9.2% 9.0% 9.7% 9.2% 7.0% 4.1%
Madison Suh 2.4% 2.9% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8% 3.7% 4.9% 5.6% 6.5% 9.3% 11.3% 18.4% 26.7%
Ted Sherman 1.7% 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 2.7% 3.7% 4.1% 4.8% 6.0% 7.9% 11.8% 18.1% 32.9%
Fritz Baldauf 3.7% 3.6% 4.3% 5.0% 6.6% 6.3% 5.4% 8.6% 8.6% 12.1% 13.6% 11.6% 10.6%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.0% 3.9% 5.0% 4.0% 5.7% 6.1% 6.8% 8.5% 8.8% 12.0% 12.0% 13.5% 10.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.