Race 4A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Will Priebe 13.3% 12.8% 11.5% 11.4% 10.6% 9.5% 9.2% 7.9% 4.8% 4.6% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4%
Spencer Barnes 15.8% 15.9% 13.6% 12.2% 11.5% 9.5% 5.9% 7.0% 4.0% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Everett Botwinick 5.9% 8.0% 8.2% 8.4% 9.2% 8.4% 8.3% 9.8% 10.0% 9.0% 6.7% 5.8% 2.3%
Declan Botwinick 14.4% 13.5% 13.7% 11.3% 10.3% 10.6% 7.0% 6.5% 5.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Clark Morris 11.8% 10.9% 11.8% 10.2% 8.5% 10.3% 10.2% 7.9% 6.6% 5.2% 3.6% 2.7% 0.3%
Peter McGonagle 7.9% 8.1% 9.1% 8.0% 8.9% 9.0% 9.9% 8.8% 9.5% 7.3% 6.4% 5.4% 1.7%
Fritz Baldauf 5.1% 4.0% 5.4% 5.7% 4.9% 5.8% 6.9% 8.6% 9.0% 11.1% 12.6% 12.8% 8.1%
Ryan Potter 4.6% 5.8% 5.1% 5.2% 5.9% 5.5% 9.8% 9.3% 9.8% 10.8% 10.8% 10.5% 6.9%
Luke Hosek 6.1% 6.1% 4.9% 9.4% 7.5% 7.7% 9.1% 8.9% 10.7% 10.3% 8.7% 6.4% 4.2%
Lars Osell 8.7% 7.3% 8.0% 7.5% 10.2% 9.5% 9.0% 7.6% 8.9% 7.7% 7.4% 4.9% 3.3%
Madison Suh 2.0% 1.9% 2.6% 3.7% 4.1% 4.6% 4.5% 5.4% 7.0% 9.4% 13.8% 18.5% 22.5%
Ted Sherman 1.2% 2.1% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 4.6% 4.2% 4.8% 6.9% 11.7% 16.0% 39.1%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.2% 3.6% 4.4% 4.9% 5.9% 6.5% 5.6% 8.1% 9.0% 11.7% 12.1% 14.2% 10.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.