Race 5A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lars Osell 6.4% 8.3% 9.0% 8.8% 8.5% 9.0% 8.3% 9.2% 10.0% 8.9% 7.1% 4.3% 2.2%
Spencer Barnes 16.3% 14.9% 14.9% 13.1% 9.2% 8.3% 8.0% 5.7% 4.4% 3.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Luke Hosek 5.0% 6.7% 7.3% 7.7% 7.6% 7.8% 10.3% 8.3% 10.2% 9.4% 8.8% 6.6% 4.3%
Everett Botwinick 6.8% 7.7% 6.9% 9.1% 8.9% 8.7% 9.5% 8.7% 9.6% 8.8% 8.4% 4.7% 2.2%
Declan Botwinick 16.3% 13.5% 13.7% 10.6% 10.5% 11.4% 7.8% 5.0% 5.3% 3.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Ryan Potter 5.0% 4.9% 5.4% 5.4% 5.9% 8.2% 6.4% 9.3% 9.8% 11.5% 11.6% 10.7% 5.9%
Will Priebe 14.5% 12.9% 11.1% 10.5% 11.2% 9.4% 9.7% 6.8% 6.2% 4.2% 1.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Ted Sherman 1.8% 2.3% 1.7% 2.8% 3.6% 2.9% 2.8% 4.9% 4.8% 7.2% 10.5% 20.0% 34.7%
Peter McGonagle 7.7% 7.4% 7.7% 9.0% 9.8% 8.4% 8.2% 10.5% 7.3% 9.1% 6.6% 5.8% 2.5%
Fritz Baldauf 4.8% 4.6% 3.8% 5.8% 4.4% 6.2% 7.3% 9.7% 9.3% 10.0% 11.2% 13.0% 9.9%
Madison Suh 2.5% 1.5% 3.5% 2.8% 4.4% 4.3% 4.3% 5.9% 7.1% 9.4% 12.2% 16.3% 25.8%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.9% 4.4% 4.5% 4.4% 6.0% 6.0% 7.6% 6.7% 8.3% 9.9% 15.4% 12.5% 11.4%
Clark Morris 10.0% 10.9% 10.5% 10.0% 10.0% 9.4% 9.8% 9.3% 7.7% 5.4% 3.7% 2.6% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.