Race 6A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Spencer Barnes 17.2% 14.2% 12.9% 11.9% 12.7% 8.7% 7.8% 5.0% 3.6% 3.6% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Peter McGonagle 7.3% 7.8% 7.9% 8.2% 10.0% 9.3% 8.8% 9.2% 9.9% 8.1% 7.1% 4.6% 1.8%
Everett Botwinick 6.1% 6.9% 8.3% 9.5% 7.9% 9.0% 8.8% 10.3% 10.1% 8.5% 7.0% 5.6% 2.0%
Declan Botwinick 14.8% 13.8% 12.8% 11.8% 11.5% 8.1% 8.1% 7.6% 5.4% 3.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.4%
Luke Hosek 7.4% 5.8% 7.6% 7.9% 7.4% 7.0% 9.6% 8.9% 10.4% 10.2% 8.0% 7.5% 2.3%
Will Priebe 12.7% 14.0% 12.2% 11.8% 10.2% 9.6% 8.2% 6.0% 5.8% 5.3% 2.5% 1.6% 0.1%
Ryan Potter 5.2% 5.6% 6.0% 6.9% 4.5% 5.5% 7.4% 8.7% 11.1% 10.0% 11.1% 12.0% 6.0%
Clark Morris 10.3% 12.0% 10.3% 8.9% 10.6% 11.1% 9.9% 8.7% 6.6% 4.8% 4.1% 1.8% 0.9%
Fritz Baldauf 4.0% 4.3% 3.7% 6.0% 4.9% 6.7% 5.9% 7.7% 10.4% 11.2% 13.5% 12.6% 9.1%
Izzy Wu-Karr 5.2% 2.9% 5.4% 3.5% 5.8% 7.8% 6.1% 8.3% 8.5% 10.9% 12.4% 12.4% 10.8%
Lars Osell 6.7% 9.3% 8.3% 9.0% 9.1% 9.9% 10.4% 9.0% 7.1% 8.5% 6.9% 3.5% 2.3%
Ted Sherman 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 2.8% 3.3% 4.0% 4.6% 5.3% 6.8% 11.3% 18.3% 36.9%
Madison Suh 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.4% 2.6% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 5.8% 8.8% 12.6% 18.9% 27.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.