Race 8A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter McGonagle 7.1% 7.4% 9.2% 9.1% 8.9% 8.5% 7.7% 10.2% 10.4% 8.5% 6.6% 4.6% 1.8%
Declan Botwinick 15.2% 12.1% 14.2% 13.0% 10.0% 9.2% 8.1% 6.4% 5.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Will Priebe 11.9% 13.3% 12.1% 10.4% 11.4% 10.0% 9.7% 6.4% 6.2% 4.6% 2.4% 1.3% 0.3%
Fritz Baldauf 3.9% 4.1% 5.0% 5.1% 5.2% 7.3% 6.8% 8.1% 9.4% 9.7% 13.6% 12.8% 9.0%
Spencer Barnes 16.9% 16.5% 12.4% 11.7% 10.6% 9.9% 7.9% 5.7% 3.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Ryan Potter 4.9% 4.4% 5.5% 5.8% 5.7% 7.9% 7.1% 7.6% 11.9% 9.8% 11.4% 10.6% 7.4%
Everett Botwinick 8.3% 7.4% 7.6% 8.9% 8.4% 7.5% 9.1% 9.2% 10.7% 8.5% 7.9% 4.9% 1.6%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.7% 5.4% 4.0% 4.0% 5.4% 6.7% 7.2% 9.2% 7.4% 11.5% 15.1% 11.5% 8.9%
Madison Suh 2.2% 2.8% 2.4% 3.2% 3.7% 3.0% 4.7% 4.0% 6.6% 9.7% 11.6% 18.8% 27.3%
Luke Hosek 7.2% 6.1% 5.7% 8.5% 7.4% 8.1% 9.0% 8.8% 8.0% 11.7% 9.1% 5.7% 4.7%
Lars Osell 7.5% 8.4% 9.8% 8.1% 8.9% 9.1% 10.1% 9.8% 8.6% 7.3% 5.3% 5.1% 2.0%
Ted Sherman 1.4% 2.0% 2.1% 1.7% 2.9% 2.9% 4.2% 4.9% 5.1% 6.3% 9.9% 20.4% 36.2%
Clark Morris 9.8% 10.1% 10.0% 10.5% 11.5% 9.9% 8.4% 9.7% 7.4% 6.6% 3.1% 2.6% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.