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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.12+4.03vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24+2.73vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.93+2.62vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.92+4.60vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.08+2.98vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.38+1.11vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.35-2.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-1.48vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.54-2.22vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.45-3.09vs Predicted
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11Amherst College0.36-1.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-5.25vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.11-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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5.62Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.6Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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7.98University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
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7.11Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.4SUNY Maritime College2.350.2%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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6.78Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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6.91Connecticut College1.450.1%1st Place
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9.87Amherst College0.360.0%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Michigan0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Priebe | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 14.0% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Clark Morris | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.3% |
| Ryan Potter | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 6.8% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Spencer Barnes | 16.4% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Everett Botwinick | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Duncan Craine | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Madison Suh | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 24.8% |
| Lars Osell | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Ted Sherman | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.