Race 10A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Duncan Craine 7.2% 5.2% 6.3% 9.7% 7.6% 7.3% 9.1% 9.4% 10.8% 9.0% 8.4% 7.3% 2.7%
Luke Hosek 5.4% 6.0% 7.0% 6.8% 7.9% 9.2% 7.6% 9.6% 8.9% 10.0% 10.1% 8.0% 3.5%
Peter McGonagle 7.0% 7.6% 7.7% 8.3% 8.7% 9.9% 8.8% 9.3% 8.6% 10.5% 6.5% 4.5% 2.6%
Declan Botwinick 13.7% 13.9% 13.6% 9.9% 10.4% 9.9% 8.2% 7.1% 6.5% 4.1% 1.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Everett Botwinick 8.0% 7.6% 8.2% 8.3% 8.6% 7.4% 8.3% 8.8% 10.4% 8.0% 8.4% 5.3% 2.7%
Clark Morris 10.1% 12.3% 9.9% 10.0% 10.5% 9.7% 9.7% 7.3% 6.1% 6.5% 4.1% 3.2% 0.6%
Ryan Potter 5.4% 4.8% 5.7% 6.0% 5.7% 5.6% 6.7% 9.2% 8.6% 10.4% 12.5% 13.3% 6.1%
Will Priebe 13.5% 11.9% 11.7% 9.0% 11.8% 10.5% 9.7% 8.2% 5.6% 3.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.4%
Spencer Barnes 15.0% 16.3% 12.9% 11.9% 11.7% 8.3% 6.9% 5.3% 4.8% 4.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Lars Osell 7.9% 7.3% 7.1% 10.3% 7.0% 8.9% 9.9% 8.1% 10.0% 7.1% 8.4% 4.9% 3.1%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.7% 3.9% 5.1% 4.9% 5.9% 6.1% 7.2% 6.8% 9.7% 12.3% 11.8% 13.4% 9.2%
Madison Suh 1.6% 2.2% 2.7% 2.4% 2.4% 4.6% 4.7% 5.7% 4.8% 7.2% 12.1% 20.8% 28.8%
Ted Sherman 1.5% 1.0% 2.1% 2.5% 1.8% 2.6% 3.2% 5.2% 5.2% 7.5% 10.9% 16.7% 39.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.