Race 11A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Declan Botwinick 14.5% 12.8% 13.2% 13.1% 10.6% 10.5% 7.7% 7.4% 4.4% 3.4% 2.0% 0.4%
Will Priebe 12.6% 14.0% 11.8% 11.5% 11.5% 10.2% 8.4% 8.3% 5.8% 3.5% 2.2% 0.2%
Spencer Barnes 16.9% 13.8% 16.6% 10.5% 11.8% 9.8% 7.2% 6.5% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Ryan Potter 4.1% 4.0% 4.9% 7.1% 6.3% 6.8% 8.9% 11.0% 10.6% 12.1% 14.3% 9.9%
Lars Osell 6.9% 9.1% 8.6% 8.4% 9.4% 8.8% 8.8% 10.9% 9.1% 10.3% 6.6% 3.1%
Peter McGonagle 7.6% 9.2% 7.4% 7.8% 8.3% 10.3% 10.7% 10.4% 8.7% 10.6% 6.3% 2.7%
Luke Hosek 6.9% 7.1% 7.6% 7.7% 8.2% 8.2% 8.4% 9.1% 11.7% 11.0% 9.2% 4.9%
Clark Morris 12.8% 11.2% 11.3% 8.7% 11.3% 8.7% 9.7% 7.8% 8.2% 6.1% 3.2% 1.0%
Duncan Craine 5.6% 7.5% 7.4% 10.3% 8.8% 10.2% 9.9% 8.7% 11.6% 9.5% 8.3% 2.2%
Madison Suh 2.9% 2.4% 3.3% 3.1% 3.0% 3.6% 5.5% 6.3% 8.0% 12.0% 20.2% 29.7%
Ted Sherman 1.7% 1.8% 1.5% 1.6% 2.9% 3.4% 4.4% 4.3% 6.6% 9.8% 18.6% 43.4%
Everett Botwinick 7.5% 7.1% 6.4% 10.2% 7.9% 9.5% 10.4% 9.3% 11.6% 9.5% 8.3% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.