Race 12A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Clark Morris 11.1% 9.0% 9.9% 11.0% 12.9% 10.0% 9.9% 8.1% 7.5% 6.2% 3.1% 1.3%
Peter McGonagle 6.9% 8.5% 8.7% 7.8% 8.9% 10.1% 10.6% 9.3% 10.7% 10.0% 5.6% 2.9%
Lars Osell 8.5% 6.9% 7.9% 9.2% 7.9% 8.2% 10.0% 10.6% 11.6% 10.3% 5.8% 3.1%
Everett Botwinick 6.5% 7.2% 7.9% 10.1% 9.0% 9.4% 10.4% 9.6% 9.2% 9.1% 8.7% 2.9%
Will Priebe 12.5% 14.3% 13.1% 10.9% 10.6% 9.7% 8.3% 7.5% 5.1% 4.8% 2.5% 0.7%
Declan Botwinick 14.6% 13.2% 15.2% 12.2% 10.5% 10.8% 7.7% 6.8% 4.2% 2.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Spencer Barnes 17.7% 16.9% 13.2% 12.1% 9.7% 8.5% 8.2% 6.5% 3.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.7%
Luke Hosek 7.0% 7.3% 7.2% 7.4% 7.6% 8.6% 10.8% 9.8% 9.2% 10.2% 10.0% 4.9%
Duncan Craine 6.5% 6.4% 8.0% 9.1% 10.1% 9.9% 8.9% 10.7% 11.6% 8.9% 7.2% 2.7%
Ryan Potter 4.9% 5.6% 4.8% 5.8% 6.4% 8.0% 6.6% 10.4% 11.0% 14.7% 12.9% 8.9%
Madison Suh 2.2% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1% 3.6% 4.3% 5.8% 5.6% 8.5% 11.5% 21.7% 30.5%
Ted Sherman 1.6% 2.7% 1.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.5% 2.8% 5.1% 7.9% 9.9% 19.5% 41.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.