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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.35+1.14vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.54+1.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.00vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.96-0.27vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14SUNY Maritime College2.350.4%1st Place
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3.08Webb Institute1.540.2%1st Place
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3.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.2%1st Place
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3.73Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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3.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Barnes | 39.9% | 27.8% | 16.6% | 10.1% | 5.6% |
| Everett Botwinick | 16.1% | 20.4% | 22.0% | 22.2% | 19.3% |
| Peter McGonagle | 18.0% | 18.4% | 25.4% | 21.5% | 16.7% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 8.5% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 40.6% |
| Lars Osell | 17.5% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 24.6% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.