Race 1B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Scholz 13.1% 10.1% 12.5% 11.4% 10.1% 11.0% 9.8% 6.9% 6.0% 5.4% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Reed McAllister 7.6% 8.2% 8.8% 8.2% 9.7% 10.3% 9.4% 10.2% 9.4% 8.0% 6.0% 3.3% 0.9%
Joshua Dillon 9.5% 10.9% 11.5% 11.7% 9.4% 9.5% 11.2% 8.7% 6.7% 6.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.3%
Devon Owen 16.6% 15.0% 13.4% 11.6% 10.3% 10.5% 7.3% 6.3% 4.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.2%
Adam Strobridge 10.9% 11.5% 11.1% 9.4% 10.5% 8.2% 9.4% 10.3% 7.6% 5.5% 3.2% 2.0% 0.4%
Ben Hosford 6.5% 5.1% 6.9% 8.1% 7.1% 9.4% 9.3% 8.4% 12.1% 8.8% 10.0% 6.2% 2.1%
Nat Edmonds 3.1% 3.2% 2.4% 4.0% 4.8% 4.3% 5.3% 6.2% 7.7% 12.0% 16.6% 17.8% 12.6%
Lilly Saffer 4.2% 4.6% 5.0% 4.9% 4.6% 7.1% 7.4% 7.9% 11.2% 11.6% 15.7% 11.5% 4.3%
Daniel Escudero 2.2% 2.8% 2.2% 3.0% 3.8% 3.6% 4.7% 5.4% 5.8% 11.0% 14.8% 25.0% 15.7%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 11.2% 12.1% 10.8% 11.2% 9.8% 8.5% 8.6% 8.5% 8.2% 5.3% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
Jakub Fuja 9.9% 12.0% 10.4% 10.7% 10.3% 9.5% 10.0% 8.9% 7.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.9% 0.1%
Allison Nystrom 4.3% 4.2% 4.1% 4.8% 8.2% 6.9% 6.1% 9.7% 10.6% 12.3% 12.9% 11.7% 4.2%
Alexander Manthous 0.9% 0.3% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 2.6% 2.6% 5.2% 7.1% 16.6% 58.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.