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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+4.47vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.37+3.34vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+3.22vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+3.86vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.74-0.67vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.50-1.06vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.36+1.03vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.09+1.31vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.38-3.55vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.76-2.91vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.29-5.60vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.25-2.15vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-1.24-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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5.34Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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7.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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4.33Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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4.94Connecticut College1.500.1%1st Place
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8.03Connecticut College0.360.1%1st Place
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9.31Amherst College-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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7.09SUNY Maritime College0.760.1%1st Place
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5.4Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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9.85Webb Institute-0.250.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Michigan-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 10.1% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 11.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Reed McAllister | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Allison Nystrom | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 3.2% |
| Devon Owen | 16.5% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 3.6% |
| Nat Edmonds | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 22.6% | 10.6% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Ben Hosford | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Jakub Fuja | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Escudero | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 23.7% | 18.6% |
| Alexander Manthous | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 17.0% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.