Race 3B

vietor

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 10.2% 9.5% 9.5% 9.8% 9.6% 10.1% 8.4% 9.8% 8.0% 6.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.4%
Calvin Schmid 14.2% 12.0% 14.5% 11.2% 10.9% 10.6% 8.5% 6.3% 4.8% 3.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Adam Strobridge 7.9% 9.0% 10.3% 9.0% 10.8% 8.7% 10.0% 9.7% 8.4% 7.4% 5.2% 2.9% 0.7%
Henry Scholz 11.2% 10.8% 9.7% 11.3% 9.3% 9.0% 10.3% 7.6% 8.9% 6.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
Nat Edmonds 2.9% 1.9% 2.5% 3.8% 3.3% 3.4% 4.4% 6.8% 6.5% 8.9% 14.8% 26.7% 14.1%
Joshua Dillon 9.2% 10.5% 10.5% 9.0% 9.8% 9.8% 9.6% 8.3% 7.7% 7.6% 4.7% 3.1% 0.2%
Ben Hosford 6.2% 5.8% 7.2% 4.5% 7.4% 6.6% 7.2% 9.6% 9.6% 12.8% 11.2% 9.2% 2.7%
Jakub Fuja 7.4% 9.9% 9.6% 9.5% 8.0% 10.4% 10.6% 10.2% 8.9% 5.3% 6.2% 3.7% 0.3%
Lilly Saffer 3.9% 4.1% 2.7% 4.4% 5.1% 6.2% 6.0% 6.2% 9.9% 13.1% 15.6% 16.1% 6.7%
Allison Nystrom 4.6% 4.2% 4.4% 4.3% 6.6% 6.5% 6.6% 8.8% 9.8% 11.8% 12.1% 14.2% 6.1%
Devon Owen 15.3% 14.6% 12.3% 11.9% 10.6% 10.4% 7.2% 6.7% 5.3% 2.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Reed McAllister 6.3% 7.2% 6.5% 10.0% 7.4% 7.4% 9.7% 8.8% 9.9% 10.8% 9.9% 5.1% 1.0%
Alexander Manthous 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 1.3% 1.2% 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 2.3% 2.9% 6.4% 13.7% 67.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.