Race 4B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Reed McAllister 6.6% 7.2% 9.1% 9.1% 7.3% 8.5% 8.0% 9.6% 10.4% 9.9% 8.3% 4.9% 1.1%
Devon Owen 14.4% 12.4% 13.5% 12.2% 10.5% 9.2% 8.0% 6.8% 4.7% 4.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Joshua Dillon 7.5% 11.0% 10.6% 9.1% 8.9% 10.3% 10.4% 8.9% 9.1% 5.8% 5.1% 2.8% 0.5%
Nat Edmonds 2.0% 1.7% 2.2% 3.5% 4.1% 3.0% 3.9% 5.9% 7.0% 9.9% 14.5% 27.1% 15.2%
Calvin Schmid 15.3% 14.5% 12.3% 11.4% 9.6% 9.1% 10.0% 6.6% 3.8% 4.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Jakub Fuja 10.4% 8.6% 8.1% 8.9% 9.9% 10.4% 9.4% 9.0% 8.8% 8.2% 4.3% 3.3% 0.7%
Henry Scholz 12.3% 10.4% 10.4% 11.1% 11.0% 9.7% 7.9% 7.3% 7.3% 6.4% 4.1% 1.4% 0.7%
Allison Nystrom 3.5% 5.1% 4.4% 4.3% 6.7% 5.6% 6.8% 8.5% 10.7% 12.1% 13.5% 13.9% 4.9%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 10.3% 8.7% 9.9% 9.7% 9.4% 9.7% 9.4% 8.3% 7.6% 7.9% 5.3% 3.2% 0.6%
Lilly Saffer 3.5% 4.3% 4.0% 4.6% 4.3% 5.0% 7.5% 7.4% 9.0% 10.0% 16.6% 16.8% 7.0%
Ben Hosford 5.1% 6.2% 6.9% 5.8% 6.5% 9.0% 8.0% 9.9% 10.1% 9.9% 11.1% 8.4% 3.1%
Alexander Manthous 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 4.0% 6.7% 13.2% 65.1%
Adam Strobridge 8.5% 9.3% 8.0% 9.2% 10.7% 9.2% 9.2% 9.8% 9.3% 6.7% 5.8% 3.4% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.