Race 5B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Devon Owen 14.0% 13.2% 13.3% 11.3% 11.0% 10.4% 7.7% 6.8% 4.9% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 9.7% 8.8% 10.8% 9.2% 10.8% 10.9% 8.3% 8.3% 7.6% 7.8% 4.3% 3.3% 0.2%
Joshua Dillon 8.9% 9.6% 10.2% 9.7% 9.3% 9.9% 11.2% 8.5% 7.7% 7.3% 4.7% 2.5% 0.5%
Allison Nystrom 3.2% 4.1% 4.6% 4.7% 5.9% 7.1% 7.3% 7.6% 8.4% 11.6% 16.1% 12.6% 6.8%
Adam Strobridge 10.1% 10.6% 8.4% 10.6% 10.3% 7.5% 9.4% 9.1% 9.4% 6.5% 5.2% 2.3% 0.6%
Calvin Schmid 15.5% 13.9% 12.8% 12.7% 9.8% 8.8% 7.3% 7.5% 5.3% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Henry Scholz 11.8% 10.9% 11.0% 11.3% 9.4% 10.2% 9.4% 7.7% 7.9% 4.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.2%
Reed McAllister 7.0% 8.4% 7.8% 6.8% 9.5% 9.2% 9.2% 9.3% 9.0% 9.8% 8.3% 4.6% 1.1%
Lilly Saffer 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 4.1% 4.8% 4.7% 5.2% 7.8% 10.2% 13.2% 14.6% 17.0% 6.6%
Nat Edmonds 2.5% 2.8% 2.4% 3.2% 3.0% 3.3% 3.9% 6.7% 7.1% 8.8% 14.7% 25.5% 16.1%
Alexander Manthous 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 2.0% 2.0% 3.4% 4.0% 6.8% 14.0% 63.3%
Jakub Fuja 8.6% 7.6% 9.6% 9.7% 7.7% 9.8% 10.0% 10.6% 8.1% 7.6% 5.9% 3.7% 1.1%
Ben Hosford 4.2% 5.4% 4.8% 6.1% 7.4% 7.1% 9.1% 8.1% 11.0% 11.6% 11.4% 10.8% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.