Race 6B

vietor

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Joshua Dillon 10.4% 8.6% 8.7% 11.6% 8.6% 9.7% 10.0% 9.7% 7.0% 8.2% 4.5% 2.6% 0.4%
Reed McAllister 6.7% 7.2% 6.6% 7.6% 9.8% 9.4% 8.8% 8.7% 10.6% 8.8% 8.3% 5.8% 1.7%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.3% 9.7% 10.1% 10.5% 10.2% 8.9% 10.2% 10.1% 8.3% 6.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.4%
Calvin Schmid 15.0% 12.8% 13.2% 10.3% 11.2% 9.1% 9.0% 7.2% 5.7% 3.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Devon Owen 14.9% 14.9% 12.0% 10.8% 9.7% 10.5% 9.3% 6.1% 4.5% 3.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Lilly Saffer 4.2% 3.4% 4.5% 4.3% 5.1% 5.7% 5.6% 7.6% 9.5% 12.8% 14.6% 16.1% 6.6%
Allison Nystrom 5.0% 4.3% 5.2% 5.0% 5.2% 7.0% 6.0% 7.4% 9.3% 11.9% 15.1% 13.5% 5.1%
Henry Scholz 11.0% 10.6% 10.6% 10.5% 8.7% 11.7% 10.2% 8.7% 7.1% 5.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.1%
Nat Edmonds 2.0% 3.7% 1.8% 3.2% 3.6% 3.0% 4.6% 5.3% 6.1% 8.8% 14.7% 28.1% 15.1%
Adam Strobridge 9.3% 9.5% 10.4% 10.0% 10.3% 8.6% 6.7% 10.1% 7.3% 8.3% 5.7% 3.2% 0.6%
Ben Hosford 4.8% 5.8% 6.7% 6.5% 7.6% 6.8% 8.0% 8.3% 12.5% 11.5% 11.5% 6.8% 3.2%
Jakub Fuja 7.6% 9.0% 9.6% 8.7% 8.9% 8.6% 10.6% 8.9% 10.0% 7.4% 6.9% 3.1% 0.7%
Alexander Manthous 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.9% 2.1% 3.7% 5.4% 15.2% 65.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.