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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.74+3.64vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.37+3.66vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.38+2.58vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.77+0.58vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+1.36vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.50-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.33-1.35vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.23+1.78vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.36-0.57vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.29-4.18vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-0.09-1.66vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-3.82vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-1.24-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.66Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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4.58Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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5.19Connecticut College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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9.78SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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5.82Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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9.34Amherst College-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Michigan-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Owen | 14.7% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 9.5% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Calvin Schmid | 14.4% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Reed McAllister | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 25.4% | 13.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 5.6% |
| Jakub Fuja | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Nat Edmonds | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 11.8% |
| Allison Nystrom | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 4.3% |
| Alexander Manthous | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 15.3% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.