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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Scholz 11.7% 11.8% 10.2% 10.3% 10.7% 11.0% 9.9% 7.7% 6.3% 5.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Devon Owen 13.2% 14.6% 13.5% 11.9% 11.1% 9.7% 8.2% 7.5% 4.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.3%
Allison Nystrom 3.0% 3.8% 4.6% 5.2% 6.1% 6.5% 9.2% 8.7% 9.2% 15.4% 12.8% 11.4% 4.1%
Calvin Schmid 15.7% 13.8% 12.8% 11.5% 9.9% 10.8% 8.2% 7.1% 5.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Joshua Dillon 10.9% 10.7% 9.5% 10.9% 10.6% 7.8% 10.6% 9.9% 7.4% 5.3% 3.9% 2.3% 0.2%
Lilly Saffer 3.7% 3.7% 5.0% 5.4% 4.6% 6.2% 6.7% 7.6% 12.0% 13.0% 14.2% 13.7% 4.2%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 12.2% 10.3% 9.4% 9.8% 10.4% 9.2% 10.2% 8.4% 8.1% 6.5% 3.4% 1.8% 0.3%
Adam Strobridge 8.8% 10.3% 10.2% 9.4% 9.2% 11.6% 9.0% 9.5% 9.9% 6.6% 3.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Jeremy Lunati 1.3% 3.1% 2.7% 2.8% 3.2% 3.6% 4.2% 4.5% 6.3% 10.3% 16.3% 26.2% 15.5%
Jakub Fuja 9.5% 9.5% 10.5% 9.0% 10.5% 9.5% 8.2% 9.5% 8.6% 6.5% 5.7% 2.4% 0.6%
Nat Edmonds 2.2% 1.9% 2.7% 4.3% 3.3% 5.3% 5.5% 5.1% 9.4% 11.5% 18.8% 16.8% 13.2%
Reed McAllister 7.1% 5.9% 8.3% 8.5% 9.0% 7.5% 9.2% 12.4% 9.8% 9.0% 8.0% 4.6% 0.7%
Alexander Manthous 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9% 2.1% 2.7% 4.8% 6.8% 16.6% 60.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.