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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Reed McAllister 7.0% 8.3% 7.9% 9.7% 8.1% 9.5% 8.3% 10.1% 10.8% 10.1% 6.4% 3.5% 0.3%
Calvin Schmid 13.9% 14.1% 13.9% 13.0% 9.9% 10.9% 6.3% 8.0% 4.9% 2.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Joshua Dillon 9.1% 9.4% 10.4% 11.0% 10.0% 10.0% 11.1% 8.2% 8.3% 6.3% 4.4% 1.6% 0.2%
Nat Edmonds 1.9% 2.0% 3.0% 2.7% 4.1% 4.2% 4.5% 6.3% 8.0% 10.9% 15.9% 22.3% 14.2%
Adam Strobridge 10.3% 10.7% 9.0% 10.7% 9.9% 8.5% 9.4% 9.6% 9.1% 5.5% 4.6% 2.3% 0.4%
Devon Owen 15.7% 13.8% 13.9% 9.9% 12.4% 8.8% 8.3% 7.0% 4.4% 3.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 11.2% 10.9% 9.2% 10.8% 10.3% 10.4% 8.7% 9.2% 6.6% 6.4% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Allison Nystrom 4.0% 5.2% 4.7% 4.2% 6.0% 6.1% 8.5% 9.4% 11.4% 13.1% 13.4% 10.5% 3.5%
Henry Scholz 11.4% 11.8% 10.5% 10.3% 9.1% 12.4% 9.1% 7.9% 7.3% 5.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.5%
Lilly Saffer 3.8% 4.3% 4.1% 3.5% 6.4% 5.7% 8.9% 7.2% 9.2% 14.3% 14.1% 12.9% 5.6%
Jeremy Lunati 1.9% 1.3% 2.0% 3.6% 4.5% 3.6% 4.4% 5.6% 8.2% 10.7% 17.0% 21.5% 15.7%
Jakub Fuja 9.0% 7.8% 10.7% 9.7% 7.7% 9.0% 10.9% 10.1% 9.3% 7.0% 5.6% 2.7% 0.5%
Alexander Manthous 0.8% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 2.5% 4.9% 7.3% 18.4% 58.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.