Race 10B

vietor

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Devon Owen 14.8% 13.7% 11.7% 13.7% 10.1% 10.4% 8.3% 6.6% 5.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Joshua Dillon 10.3% 8.8% 10.3% 10.3% 10.6% 10.5% 9.3% 9.2% 7.5% 5.8% 4.6% 2.0% 0.8%
Jeremy Lunati 1.8% 2.1% 1.4% 1.7% 3.1% 4.3% 4.8% 4.5% 7.5% 12.7% 14.6% 27.9% 13.6%
Henry Scholz 11.2% 10.5% 12.0% 10.4% 9.7% 11.0% 10.4% 7.6% 7.6% 5.5% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Calvin Schmid 15.6% 15.4% 12.6% 11.8% 11.0% 8.8% 8.0% 6.7% 4.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Reed McAllister 8.2% 7.4% 8.8% 6.9% 9.5% 8.9% 10.0% 9.9% 9.9% 8.1% 8.0% 3.9% 0.5%
Allison Nystrom 5.2% 6.1% 3.5% 4.9% 5.9% 6.6% 5.1% 9.7% 10.2% 13.7% 13.9% 11.0% 4.2%
Adam Strobridge 9.1% 9.1% 10.8% 10.6% 9.7% 10.6% 10.5% 9.7% 7.5% 6.1% 3.9% 2.0% 0.4%
Lilly Saffer 3.8% 4.1% 3.1% 5.2% 5.2% 5.5% 6.2% 8.1% 10.7% 13.8% 16.5% 11.9% 5.9%
Nat Edmonds 2.9% 2.2% 3.5% 2.9% 2.6% 3.6% 6.3% 5.2% 8.8% 11.5% 17.1% 20.9% 12.5%
Jakub Fuja 8.8% 9.8% 10.7% 10.6% 10.7% 10.2% 9.4% 9.4% 8.1% 6.3% 3.6% 2.3% 0.1%
Alexander Manthous 0.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 1.1% 1.8% 2.1% 3.1% 4.7% 7.6% 14.3% 61.2%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.0% 9.7% 11.1% 10.1% 10.6% 8.5% 9.9% 11.3% 8.7% 5.3% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.