Race 11B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adam Strobridge 9.9% 8.1% 10.1% 9.8% 9.8% 8.5% 8.4% 10.4% 9.2% 7.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5%
Reed McAllister 6.9% 7.1% 8.6% 7.6% 7.0% 9.8% 9.4% 9.9% 9.5% 9.0% 8.2% 5.4% 1.6%
Henry Scholz 10.3% 10.3% 11.0% 10.1% 10.5% 9.3% 11.5% 7.5% 8.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.6%
Lilly Saffer 2.7% 3.5% 4.1% 4.4% 5.0% 6.7% 6.3% 7.6% 9.2% 10.6% 16.9% 17.3% 5.7%
Allison Nystrom 4.9% 3.8% 4.2% 5.9% 6.8% 6.3% 5.8% 8.3% 8.5% 12.7% 14.3% 13.5% 5.0%
Devon Owen 13.7% 15.4% 11.6% 11.8% 10.5% 10.1% 8.3% 5.6% 5.2% 4.8% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Nat Edmonds 2.6% 3.2% 2.7% 2.7% 3.4% 3.9% 4.7% 6.7% 6.9% 8.2% 12.8% 26.4% 15.8%
Joshua Dillon 9.2% 11.1% 8.3% 9.4% 10.1% 9.6% 10.1% 9.8% 8.3% 6.4% 5.3% 1.8% 0.6%
Calvin Schmid 13.3% 14.1% 12.9% 10.1% 11.1% 9.7% 8.5% 6.1% 6.7% 4.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.4%
Jakub Fuja 10.6% 8.1% 8.2% 10.4% 8.9% 8.8% 8.6% 9.2% 7.3% 8.8% 6.4% 4.1% 0.6%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 10.1% 10.1% 11.2% 11.4% 9.5% 9.3% 8.2% 10.0% 6.9% 6.2% 4.0% 2.6% 0.5%
Ben Hosford 5.0% 4.8% 6.4% 5.6% 6.8% 6.7% 8.6% 7.6% 11.0% 12.1% 13.0% 9.7% 2.7%
Alexander Manthous 0.8% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 2.8% 3.7% 6.5% 13.6% 65.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.