Race 12B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Calvin Schmid 13.7% 14.5% 13.4% 10.7% 10.4% 10.1% 8.6% 7.5% 4.8% 3.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Devon Owen 13.1% 13.2% 13.9% 11.9% 10.5% 8.9% 9.3% 6.3% 4.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3%
Nat Edmonds 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 2.9% 3.0% 3.0% 4.8% 6.1% 6.8% 10.5% 14.6% 27.4% 15.1%
Henry Scholz 11.0% 11.5% 10.9% 9.9% 8.6% 9.2% 9.1% 10.1% 6.7% 7.7% 2.9% 2.2% 0.2%
Adam Strobridge 10.2% 9.3% 10.1% 9.8% 9.7% 8.8% 9.5% 10.1% 7.7% 6.7% 5.5% 2.2% 0.4%
Lilly Saffer 3.9% 3.8% 3.8% 4.8% 5.2% 5.9% 6.4% 7.0% 10.1% 10.3% 15.3% 17.2% 6.3%
Joshua Dillon 11.3% 9.7% 8.4% 10.5% 10.1% 9.1% 8.8% 7.6% 9.9% 6.8% 5.3% 2.1% 0.4%
Jakub Fuja 8.4% 8.5% 8.8% 10.6% 9.0% 10.6% 8.6% 9.5% 9.7% 7.0% 5.2% 3.2% 0.9%
Alexander Manthous 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.2% 1.9% 2.4% 4.3% 5.6% 12.2% 65.2%
Allison Nystrom 4.8% 3.6% 5.1% 4.2% 5.9% 6.8% 6.0% 8.4% 9.9% 11.1% 13.0% 15.5% 5.7%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 9.7% 11.4% 10.9% 9.9% 10.2% 9.4% 10.1% 7.3% 7.6% 6.2% 4.1% 2.6% 0.6%
Ben Hosford 5.3% 5.1% 4.1% 6.2% 7.1% 6.4% 9.2% 8.3% 9.9% 10.9% 15.1% 8.9% 3.5%
Reed McAllister 6.0% 6.7% 7.9% 7.0% 8.6% 10.1% 8.4% 9.9% 9.7% 10.0% 9.7% 4.8% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.