← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College0.76+2.86vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+2.17vs Predicted
-
3Webb Institute1.77-0.63vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College1.50-1.23vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College0.36-0.54vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.86SUNY Maritime College0.760.1%1st Place
-
4.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.1%1st Place
-
2.37Webb Institute1.770.3%1st Place
-
2.77Connecticut College1.500.2%1st Place
-
4.46Connecticut College0.360.1%1st Place
-
3.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Hosford | 9.8% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 19.0% | 22.1% | 18.8% |
| Allison Nystrom | 8.4% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 23.1% | 28.9% |
| Calvin Schmid | 34.9% | 24.2% | 20.1% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Henry Scholz | 23.5% | 23.6% | 22.5% | 16.6% | 10.1% | 3.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 20.3% | 37.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 16.8% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 21.8% | 17.6% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.