← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+2.35vs Predicted
-
2Arizona State University-1.81+5.42vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Irvine-1.70+4.16vs Predicted
-
4Arizona State University-1.16+1.47vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+4.37vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+4.18vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.95+1.04vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine-1.52-1.39vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.90-4.35vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-2.19-1.02vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-2.36-1.49vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09-3.23vs Predicted
-
13California State University Monterey Bay-2.95-1.48vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-2.70-3.50vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-2.08-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.35University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.3%1st Place
-
7.42Arizona State University-1.810.1%1st Place
-
7.16University of California at Irvine-1.700.1%1st Place
-
5.47Arizona State University-1.160.1%1st Place
-
9.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
-
10.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of California at San Diego-1.950.1%1st Place
-
6.61University of California at Irvine-1.520.1%1st Place
-
4.65University of California at Santa Cruz-0.900.1%1st Place
-
8.98University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
-
9.51University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
-
8.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
-
11.52California State University Monterey Bay-2.950.0%1st Place
-
10.5University of California at Irvine-2.700.0%1st Place
-
8.48California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Holguin | 26.1% | 21.9% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailly | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Down | 10.0% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Colin Thompson | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% |
| Dylan Tran | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.0% |
| Laurence Mach | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Emma Feasey | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Meyers | 13.3% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Grace Richie | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Daniel Haberland | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 28.4% |
| Ryan Gedminas | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 16.9% |
| Brent Lin | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.