← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Arizona State University-1.16+4.40vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.90+2.62vs Predicted
-
3Arizona State University-1.81+4.50vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-0.65vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09+3.61vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine-1.52+0.59vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.95+0.99vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+1.40vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+1.11vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-2.19-1.04vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine-2.70-0.40vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay-2.95-0.43vs Predicted
-
13California State University Channel Islands-2.08-4.26vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-2.36-4.61vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine-1.70-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.4Arizona State University-1.160.1%1st Place
-
4.62University of California at Santa Cruz-0.900.1%1st Place
-
7.5Arizona State University-1.810.1%1st Place
-
3.35University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.3%1st Place
-
8.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
-
6.59University of California at Irvine-1.520.1%1st Place
-
7.99University of California at San Diego-1.950.1%1st Place
-
9.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
-
10.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
-
8.96University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
-
10.6University of California at Irvine-2.700.0%1st Place
-
11.57California State University Monterey Bay-2.950.0%1st Place
-
8.74California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
-
9.39University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
-
7.18University of California at Irvine-1.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Down | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Meyers | 14.3% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Bailly | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Hunter Holguin | 25.4% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| Emma Feasey | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Laurence Mach | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Colin Thompson | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% |
| Dylan Tran | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% |
| Juliette Cramer | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Ryan Gedminas | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 18.0% |
| Daniel Haberland | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 27.8% |
| Brent Lin | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% |
| Grace Richie | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.