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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.17+1.18vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-1.66+4.00vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-2.45+5.84vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-2.52+5.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.96+1.32vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36+1.66vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-2.68+1.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.53-3.15vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-2.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-2.29-2.60vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-2.22-3.88vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-2.05-5.46vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.31-5.70vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-2.08-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.170.4%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Santa Cruz-1.660.1%1st Place
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8.84Arizona State University-2.450.0%1st Place
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9.12Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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7.32University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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8.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
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9.3University of California at Davis-2.680.0%1st Place
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5.85University of California at Irvine-1.530.1%1st Place
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7.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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8.4University of California at Irvine-2.290.0%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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7.54California State University Monterey Bay-2.050.0%1st Place
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8.3University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
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7.46California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Baker-Berry | 44.8% | 24.3% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Farago | 7.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Mason Norwood | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.8% |
| Adem Evecek | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% |
| Griffin Vernon | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% |
| Nathan Baer | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.6% |
| Brayden Money | 7.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Gates | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Mason Read | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% |
| Matthew Stank | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| Bella Valente | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% |
| Brent Lin | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.