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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+2.92vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.36+7.76vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+6.03vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.17+2.85vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.07+7.03vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.84+2.20vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.07-0.21vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.01+3.36vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.86+0.04vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.16+2.07vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.49+2.55vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.45-1.95vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.79-5.00vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.69-5.19vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-6.66vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.99-3.87vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.26-7.01vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.18-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Yale University2.4222.3%1st Place
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9.76Boston College1.364.5%1st Place
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9.03Tulane University1.735.1%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University2.177.8%1st Place
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12.03George Washington University1.072.2%1st Place
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8.2Bowdoin College1.845.6%1st Place
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6.79Stanford University2.079.0%1st Place
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11.36Tufts University1.012.9%1st Place
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9.04Georgetown University1.865.2%1st Place
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12.07University of Pennsylvania1.162.6%1st Place
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13.55Roger Williams University0.491.6%1st Place
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10.05Dartmouth College1.454.2%1st Place
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8.0Cornell University1.796.6%1st Place
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8.81Brown University1.695.6%1st Place
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8.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.3%1st Place
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12.13University of South Florida0.991.9%1st Place
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9.99College of Charleston1.263.5%1st Place
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11.09Northeastern University1.182.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carmen Cowles | 22.3% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Sara Schumann | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
Ava Anderson | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
Zoey Ziskind | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% |
Lauren Russler | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Ellie Harned | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Sophia Hubbard | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% |
Kelly Bates | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
Adra Ivancich | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% |
Katherine McGagh | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 25.7% |
Olivia Drulard | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
Sophia Devling | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
Katherine McNamara | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
Lucy Brock | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
Kalea Woodard | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% |
Emily Alfortish | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.