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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.49+3.19vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology1.99+0.50vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.90-1.65vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.14-2.92vs Predicted
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6Rollins College1.92-2.28vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.64-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of Miami1.490.1%1st Place
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3.5Florida Institute of Technology1.990.1%1st Place
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2.35Eckerd College2.900.3%1st Place
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2.08University of South Florida3.140.4%1st Place
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3.72Rollins College1.920.1%1st Place
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5.15Jacksonville University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Popp | 6.2% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 19.8% | 29.7% | 20.4% |
| Adam Harris | 11.3% | 15.7% | 22.3% | 22.3% | 19.3% | 9.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 31.1% | 29.1% | 20.2% | 13.6% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| David Harrison | 39.5% | 29.0% | 18.2% | 10.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Tristan Jackson | 10.0% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 25.1% | 21.3% | 12.4% |
| Michael Todd | 1.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 22.1% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.