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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California-0.27+7.48vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.35+3.84vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.67-0.47vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.42+1.50vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.47-3.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-1.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.18-1.76vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-2.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.01-3.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.43-3.28vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.90-2.78vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.97-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48University of Southern California-0.270.0%1st Place
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3.35California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.0%1st Place
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3.53University of Southern California1.670.2%1st Place
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6.5California State University Channel Islands0.420.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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7.24University of California at San Diego0.180.0%1st Place
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7.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.22Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.39University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McKinley | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 8.1% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 23.3% | 18.7% | 19.7% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Davis Winsor | 20.1% | 20.6% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Luke Harris | 17.5% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 5.7% |
| Adam Leddy | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.3% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 30.3% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.