← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California State University Channel Islands0.42+5.58vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.47+1.94vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.67+0.48vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego0.18+3.29vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.68vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+0.17vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine-0.01+0.68vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Davis-0.43+0.88vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.35-2.21vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California-0.27-2.58vs Predicted
-
12Arizona State University-0.90-2.02vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-4.89vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-0.97-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.58California State University Channel Islands0.420.1%1st Place
-
3.94University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
-
3.48University of Southern California1.670.2%1st Place
-
7.29University of California at San Diego0.180.0%1st Place
-
3.32California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
-
6.17University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
-
7.68University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
-
8.88University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
6.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.1%1st Place
-
8.42University of Southern California-0.270.0%1st Place
-
9.98Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
8.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
10.37University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Maggard | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Luke Harris | 16.8% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 21.7% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 23.9% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Adam Leddy | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 11.2% |
| Andrew Ring | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Jackson McKinley | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 25.5% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 18.5% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.