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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.47+3.28vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.55vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.38vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.27+5.34vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.42+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.35+0.23vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.90+2.86vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.67-5.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.43-0.13vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-2.41vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.18-3.99vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.01-4.49vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.97-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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3.55California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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5.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Southern California-0.270.0%1st Place
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7.35California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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7.23University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.1%1st Place
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10.86Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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3.88University of Southern California1.670.2%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at San Diego0.180.0%1st Place
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8.51University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.08University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 15.3% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 20.7% | 20.2% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Henderson | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McKinley | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 8.3% |
| Sterling Maggard | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Ring | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 28.7% |
| Davis Winsor | 18.6% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 13.5% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 18.9% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.