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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.67+2.50vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.34vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.47+0.95vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.18+3.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.17vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.90+3.06vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.42-1.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.35-2.29vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.43-0.98vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-3.13vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California-0.27-3.70vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.97-2.65vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.01-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of Southern California1.670.2%1st Place
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3.34California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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3.95University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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7.27University of California at San Diego0.180.0%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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10.06Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.5California State University Channel Islands0.420.1%1st Place
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6.71University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.1%1st Place
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9.02University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Southern California-0.270.0%1st Place
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10.35University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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7.98University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Winsor | 22.0% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 22.6% | 22.4% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 16.5% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.3% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 19.5% | 26.4% |
| Sterling Maggard | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Ring | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 14.6% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% |
| Jackson McKinley | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 31.8% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.