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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+2.94vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.06+4.74vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.73+2.20vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.09+3.17vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.07+5.75vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.39-0.01vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.29-0.72vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.42+0.66vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.97+3.82vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.87+0.73vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.07+0.66vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-3.79vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.27+1.05vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+1.15vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.83-6.99vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.97-8.30vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-5.09vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-0.92-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Harvard University3.1820.5%1st Place
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6.74Bowdoin College2.067.7%1st Place
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5.2Brown University2.7312.3%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University2.096.5%1st Place
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10.75Northeastern University1.072.2%1st Place
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5.99Dartmouth College2.399.0%1st Place
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6.28Yale University2.299.2%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island1.425.7%1st Place
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12.82Salve Regina University0.971.9%1st Place
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10.73University of Vermont0.872.0%1st Place
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11.66Boston University1.072.4%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.455.8%1st Place
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14.05Connecticut College0.271.1%1st Place
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15.15Maine Maritime Academy-0.330.5%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University1.834.9%1st Place
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7.7Boston College1.975.6%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.1%1st Place
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16.01Olin College of Engineering-0.920.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 20.5% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 5.6% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Porter Bell | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 13.2% |
| Nathan Hyde | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 23.8% | 26.5% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 18.6% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.