← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.67+2.50vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.33vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California1.47-0.04vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands0.42+1.64vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California-0.27+2.42vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-0.83vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-0.19vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University-0.90+1.04vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego0.18-2.68vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine-0.01-3.26vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-0.97-1.86vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis-0.43-3.94vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Cruz0.35-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.5University of Southern California1.670.2%1st Place
-
3.33California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
-
3.96University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
-
6.64California State University Channel Islands0.420.1%1st Place
-
8.42University of Southern California-0.270.0%1st Place
-
6.17University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
-
7.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
-
10.04Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
7.32University of California at San Diego0.180.0%1st Place
-
7.74University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
-
10.14University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
-
9.06University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
6.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Winsor | 21.4% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 22.6% | 21.8% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 17.2% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sterling Maggard | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Jackson McKinley | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 5.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 27.0% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 27.6% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 14.9% |
| Andrew Ring | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.