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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+2.68vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.67+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.18+4.92vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.42+3.29vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.27+4.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.01+2.65vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.47-2.80vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+0.44vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.35-1.47vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-4.51vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.43-1.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-5.09vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.90-2.11vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.97-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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3.74University of Southern California1.670.2%1st Place
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7.92University of California at San Diego0.180.0%1st Place
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7.29California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Southern California-0.270.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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8.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.1%1st Place
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5.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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10.89Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.06University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 20.7% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 19.9% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Sterling Maggard | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Jackson McKinley | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Luke Harris | 15.4% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% |
| Andrew Ring | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Garrett Henderson | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.8% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 25.8% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.