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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+2.16vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands-0.84+4.96vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.83vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+2.23vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-2.54vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-1.06+0.37vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.24-0.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.27-4.87vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.13-2.34vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.07-3.61vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.98-0.90vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California-0.10-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of Southern California1.480.3%1st Place
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4.16University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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7.96California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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5.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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8.37California Poly Maritime Academy-1.060.0%1st Place
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8.97Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Irvine0.270.1%1st Place
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8.66University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.39University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.1University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
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6.1University of Southern California-0.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 32.8% | 24.5% | 16.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 14.3% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 2.7% |
| Florence Duff | 5.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Elliott | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 3.6% |
| Jack Kisling | 13.7% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Shintani | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 4.3% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 7.2% |
| Arin Bekem | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 6.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 70.7% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.