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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+2.02vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.48-0.52vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands-0.84+3.75vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine0.27-1.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California-0.10-2.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.65vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.07-1.63vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.24-2.28vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-1.06-3.95vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-4.61vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.98-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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2.48University of Southern California1.480.3%1st Place
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7.75California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Irvine0.270.1%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Southern California-0.100.1%1st Place
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8.35University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.37University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.72Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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8.05California Poly Maritime Academy-1.060.0%1st Place
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8.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.04University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Olson | 14.6% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 34.5% | 27.7% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 2.4% |
| Jack Kisling | 12.0% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Arin Bekem | 11.1% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Elliott | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 2.9% |
| Edward Ansart | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 3.8% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 4.6% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 6.9% |
| Christopher Shintani | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 4.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 4.8% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 11.1% | 70.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.